Statistics, Terrorism, Lack of Access to Health Care
by Nick Farr on January 27, 2010
in Economic Theory, Future Shock
“What I hope the president does… is talk about jobs, debt, terror and if he stopped right there it’d suit me fine, because if he focused on those three and got them in a better direction, then we could deal with health care.”
- Sen. Lamar Alexander (R-TN) via NPR
In a fit of anger upon hearing this, I tweeted:
“Lack of access to health care kills more Americans every month than terrorists have in our nation’s entire history.”
- Me, via twitter
Admittedly, this is a very bold claim. And I stand behind it.
The presumptions I’ve made in making this claim take into account the following assumptions which, depending on your point of view, are refutable:
- “Americans” means US Citizens on US soil.
- “Terrorists” means those who apply the calculated use of violence to achieve mass casualties against US citizens in order to forward political goals.
The thing about statistics is that you could game either body count either way. You could immediately throw out the study I reference, using a 2002 Institute of Medicine study which puts the total at less than half of the study I quote.
You could also pile on to assume that Terrorist attacks are any random act of violence leading to death, in which case the reverse claim could be made.
In looking at Terrorism, I’m using a much narrower focus. The “terrorist” I speak of is the kind that we’re supposedly fighting in this War on Terror. This precludes things like hate crimes, campaigns by the KKK, and many other uses of systematic violence with political motives. It also precludes attacks on those working for the military, law enforcement or those attacks committed abroad. I’m talking about organized terror groups acting specifically against civilians in the US along political lines. All that being said:
Deaths attributable to Lack of Access to Health Care: 44,789 Annually, (approx. 3,732/month)
Deaths attributable to Terrorism in US History: 2,910 (Running total)
- 9/11: 2,668
- 1995 Oklahoma City: 168
- 1920 Wall Street Bombing: 38
- 1910 Los Angeles Times Bombing: 21
- 1993 WTC: 6
- 2001 Anthrax Attacks: 5
- Unabomber: 3
- 1996 Atlanta Olympic Bombing: 1
Which basically means there’s 822 terrorist deaths left to go before my statistic fails. Any other attacks I forgot?
My first foray into Peer Directed Banking: The Credit Unicorn
by Nick Farr on July 23, 2009
in Economic Theory, Peer Directed Banking
Nickf4rr: @bre Try credit unions instead. [link]
johl: @Nickf4rr I misread that as “credit unicorns” and thought it was awesome. [link]
Nickf4rr: @johl I make you this solemn vow: Credit unicorns will be a real, viable financial product before I retire.
Since making this solemn vow, I’ve been consumed with designing a financial product or service worthy of the name “credit unicorn”. Somehow, after chuckling to myself about snakes on my girlfriend’s flight to Portland, it hit me. The credit unicorn should take on credit card debt!
The credit unicorn is my first experiment with Peer Directed Banking. Cloud Banking, while catchy, never quite caught captured the essence of the fundamental shift banking I envision. Our savings are in a cloud right now–out there, somewhere. What we really need is the ability to direct where our savings go, to have a solid grasp over what our money is doing.
All well and good, but it needs to start somewhere. So here goes:
The Credit Unicorn
The Credit Unicorn is an installment loan financed by individual savings, designed to replace and encourage the retirement of high interest rate revolving debt (i.e. Credit Cards). It works like this:
- The borrower of a high interest rate card agrees to surrender it.
- The Credit Unicorn will pay the balance in full and cancel the card.
- The borrower makes minimum payments into the CU that are twice as large as those required by the card in exchange for half the interest rate (or 3x as large for 1/3rd the interest rate, and so on) until the balance is paid off.
- The lender/s keep the interest payments, less a small amount for insurance, payment fees, etc.
It’s a simple idea that I believe will connect those looking to get better returns on savings with those who really need to learn to save.
Anyone interested?
Rhizome Commissions Voting
by Nick Farr on June 4, 2009
in Art & Beauty, New Funding Models
While funding for the arts is easier to come by in good times, it’s always the first thing to go during a downswing. Finding funding for the arts is a profession in and of itself, one that needs to shift away from begging governments, corporations and foundations to a model that directly engages those moved by the arts.
One such model I’m personally familiar with is the Rhizome Commissions Program. I joined Rhizome so I could support commission proposals from Edith Kollath and Diana Eng, both friends of mine from NYC Resistor. Were it not for their participation, I wouldn’t have even heard about Rhizome let alone added them to the list of organizations I’m proud to be a supporter of.
While contests like these aren’t a perfect way of picking worthy art projects, the program’s use of online approval and instant run-off voting is one strong way Rhizome helps “encourage and expand the communities around … emerging artistic practices that engage technology.”
I’m happy to report that Diana’s proposal, Fictional Jewelry and Other Wistful Adornments is one of the finalists. All of the projects themselves are worth checking out, and I expect to blog more about these artists and their work in the future. Below the fold are the links and my ranking of the finalists, with their project summaries (some of which I truncated for brevity’s sake).
Read more
42 Points on the Future of Everything
by Nick Farr on May 24, 2009
in Economic Theory, Future Shock, SIGINT09
When I asked Twitter what I should bring up in a talk on “The Future of Everything”, the only consistent answer I got was 42. So, I came up with a talk featuring 35 points on the future that I’ve been thinking and invited fellow SIGINT participants to fill in the rest.
The More Things Change, The More Stay the Same
- In the future, there will still be bad, memory leaking code
- More data will be collected, and they still won’t know what to do with it
- More “content” will be produced, it will be cheaper and of lower quality
- LOLCats will not die, stupid memes will only get worse
- Privacy is a relic of the past
- Hackers will proliferate: Hacking in general will become more important
- You’re still going to die
Old Memes: Things Ain’t Like They Once Was
- Profanity
- Arbiters of Taste
- Context
- Linear Narratives
- Fixed Realities : Everyone Will Construct Their Own Reality
- Newspapers : The Daily Newspaper is Dead
The Future is Now: We Can See, Touch and Taste It.
- Voluntary Surveillance : The Creation of Parallel Realities
- Ethnic Identity as a Choice : Everyone Will Decide What Race to Be
- Smarter Terrorists : More of Them, More Creative Attacks
- More Democracy : People Have the Tools to Make Decisions
- People Will Do More With Less : Work 2.0, Energy 2.0, Materials 2.0
- World Population Will Shrink (Because It Has To)
- Money Will Lose Importance
- Information You Produce Will Gain Importance as Currency
- We Will Have to Use Less Energy: Fewer Resources, More Users, Heavier Load
- We Will Source More Locally
Tomorrow : Educated Guesses About the Future
- Makerbot = Altair 8800
- Girls Will Get Into RepRap…When They Find Out It Makes Shoes
- We Will Design Our Own Things
- We Are Making Backup Copies Of Our Personas
- Symbolic Interactionism ++
- The Future Will Be More Modular
- Microsoft Won’t Sell Software Anymore
- The Basic Income Will Be The New Idea of Freedom
- The Final Frontier Belongs to Us (Government Has Failed at Space Exploration)
- Sattelite Internet by 2020: Net Neutrality Fight Will Be Won in Space
- C-Base Will Pwn the Moon
Revenge Affects: The Future Is Not All Hope and Dreams
- Water, Water Everywhere : And Were Flushing Out What’s Left to Drink
- People Will Get More Spiritual
Crowdsourced Items
- Radioactive Mutant Vampire Zombie Robots from Outerspace (Corrected, see comments)
- Future of Warfare: Perpetual, Asymmetric Warfare
- Digital Drugs & Data Integrity : Your Best (and Possibly Last Trip)
- Risk Cannot Be Managed
- Crowdsourcing Works, Bitches
- Time is a finite resource … Even If We Have Club-Mate
Cloud banking talk at SIGINT went really well
by Nick Farr on May 22, 2009
in Cologne, Economic Theory, Peer Directed Banking, SIGINT09
To illustrate the concept of money as a metric, I used the ever awesome Haribo Saft Goldbären they have on sale here in Mediapark 7 at SIGINT.
The first of my three talks here managed to snag a near capacity crowd, more likely due to the timing of the talk right after dinner on Friday night. The crowd seemed relatively sedate until midway through, when a great series of questions came up. Based on the interview I did with German Public Radio and comments from those who approached me since, it seems the topic really resonated with the attendees here.
Seeing Johannes sing corporate anthems and Astera and George talk about robot uprisings was also really cool. Jens gave a great Day 1 keynote…or so say the German speakers I begged an aftermath from. It was also great spending time chilling with Jon and Ivory.
The slides from the talk and more about cloud banking are now posted over at my cloud banking page. Thanks to jmtosses and function for the pictures!
